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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.30+1.32vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06-0.67vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-0.95vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+1.77vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.45vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27-0.26vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.36-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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2.33Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.05Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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6.77Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.55Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.74Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.54Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Rubin | 22.8% | 26.2% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 15.3% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 33.8% | 27.1% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 19.7% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Edick | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 29.0% | 39.7% |
| Nina McAlvey | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 24.0% | 26.2% | 20.9% | 9.3% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 26.6% | 41.7% |
| Sarah Corder | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 22.1% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.