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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+0.05vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+1.76vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.36-0.41vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.32-1.42vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.27-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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2.76University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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3.05Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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2.34Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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6.76Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.59Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.58Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 16.1% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 25.1% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tye Rubin | 22.9% | 23.6% | 24.6% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 19.6% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 32.8% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Edick | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 25.7% | 41.6% |
| Sarah Corder | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 23.3% | 26.2% | 21.2% | 10.2% |
| Nina McAlvey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 21.7% | 25.7% | 20.5% | 11.6% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 29.3% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.