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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.69vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.49+1.09vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06-0.67vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.32+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.30-1.66vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.07+0.53vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-0.23vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.36-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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3.09Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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2.33Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.66Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.53Western Michigan University-2.070.0%1st Place
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6.77Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.59Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Rubin | 24.5% | 24.2% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 18.8% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 34.4% | 26.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nina McAlvey | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 19.1% | 26.6% | 23.3% | 11.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 14.4% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 24.8% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Schott | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 9.6% | 20.9% | 26.7% | 33.1% |
| Justin Edick | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 44.5% |
| Sarah Corder | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 23.9% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.