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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.90vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.37+2.31vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.51+1.53vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.18+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.58-0.30vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-2.08vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.41-2.58vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.31Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.53Michigan State University-1.510.1%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.92Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.42Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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6.52Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 48.6% | 27.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Robert Gustke | 7.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 24.9% |
| Jacob Turenne | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
| Conor Burns | 1.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.