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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-1.37+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.30-0.10vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.41+1.37vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16-0.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.51-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.58-1.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.18-1.23vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.37Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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3.99Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.59Michigan State University-1.510.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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5.77Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.51Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Spano | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% |
| Scott Sazama | 49.1% | 27.2% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 10.9% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Robert Gustke | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 6.7% |
| Jacob Turenne | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 9.3% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 26.4% |
| Conor Burns | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.