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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.89vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+2.37vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.16+0.95vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.37+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.58-0.33vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.51-1.48vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.18-1.23vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.37Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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3.95Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.33Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.52Michigan State University-1.510.1%1st Place
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5.77Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.51Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 50.5% | 26.4% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Jacob Turenne | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Robert Gustke | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| Conor Burns | 1.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.