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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.90vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.58+1.64vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.51+0.58vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.37-0.72vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.18-0.32vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.16-2.99vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.38Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.58Michigan State University-1.510.1%1st Place
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4.28Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.01Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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6.54Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 49.8% | 26.7% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Turenne | 7.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Robert Gustke | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Joshua Spano | 8.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 24.6% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Conor Burns | 1.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.