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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.90vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.37+2.27vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.58+0.70vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.41-0.62vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.18-0.33vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.16-3.00vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.27Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.56Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.38Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.0Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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6.53Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 49.7% | 26.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 7.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Jacob Turenne | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Nichole Kievit | 8.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 24.3% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.6% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Conor Burns | 1.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.