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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.89vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+2.36vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.37+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.58+0.69vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53-0.39vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-2.10vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.18-1.23vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.36Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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4.28Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.61Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.9Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.77Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.51Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 49.6% | 28.0% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Joshua Spano | 9.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Jacob Turenne | 7.6% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 8.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 24.8% |
| Conor Burns | 1.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.