← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University-1.37+2.29vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois-1.58+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-1.41+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-1.16-1.06vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.53-1.44vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-2.74-0.41vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-2.18-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
-
4.29Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.65University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
-
4.42Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
-
3.94Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
-
4.56Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
-
6.59Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
-
5.64Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 50.5% | 25.8% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Turenne | 7.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 10.5% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| Conor Burns | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 50.7% |
| Nora Kiernan | 2.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.