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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+0.90vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+2.38vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+1.57vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.37+0.35vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.18+0.71vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-2.08vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.74-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.58-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.38Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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4.57Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.35Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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3.92Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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6.57Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 48.7% | 27.7% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Nora Kiernan | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 22.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.9% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Conor Burns | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 48.5% |
| Jacob Turenne | 6.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.