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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-1.58+3.61vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.16+1.96vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.18+2.69vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.74+2.58vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.30-4.12vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.41-2.54vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.96Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.69Marquette University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.58Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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4.64Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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1.88University of Wisconsin0.300.5%1st Place
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4.46Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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4.18Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Turenne | 6.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Nora Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 24.3% | 22.4% |
| Conor Burns | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 48.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 6.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Scott Sazama | 49.5% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Kievit | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Joshua Spano | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.