Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colin Richards 15.3% 16.3% 13.8% 18.3% 14.4% 10.4% 7.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Mott Blair 3.3% 3.0% 5.1% 6.9% 8.9% 12.8% 16.9% 25.0% 18.1%
Perham Black 19.2% 15.9% 18.5% 13.7% 12.2% 9.8% 7.6% 2.9% 0.2%
Aidan Scanlon 10.3% 12.5% 12.3% 13.6% 15.2% 14.6% 12.2% 7.0% 2.3%
Christos Karplus 8.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 12.7% 14.8% 14.6% 11.1% 4.8%
Adrian van der Wal 21.7% 20.2% 18.7% 14.7% 9.7% 8.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Anna Spiro 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 5.6% 8.5% 13.4% 23.4% 37.4%
Olivia Mitchell 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 6.1% 9.0% 15.7% 20.6% 35.5%
Austen Freda 15.3% 15.1% 14.0% 15.5% 15.2% 11.9% 7.7% 4.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.