Race 2A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colin Richards 16.0% 16.6% 14.0% 17.1% 13.4% 11.5% 7.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Perham Black 16.0% 16.7% 16.4% 15.5% 13.5% 11.4% 6.7% 3.0% 0.8%
Mott Blair 4.2% 3.7% 5.2% 7.8% 7.4% 12.5% 18.9% 22.8% 17.5%
Aidan Scanlon 9.7% 13.0% 13.4% 11.7% 16.9% 13.4% 12.1% 7.6% 2.2%
Christos Karplus 9.3% 10.0% 12.4% 11.6% 11.2% 14.8% 14.9% 10.8% 5.0%
Adrian van der Wal 22.8% 19.4% 18.0% 14.9% 10.2% 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Anna Spiro 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 6.2% 8.3% 12.7% 23.4% 37.7%
Olivia Mitchell 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 5.8% 9.2% 13.3% 24.2% 34.3%
Austen Freda 15.9% 14.9% 14.2% 14.7% 15.4% 10.8% 9.5% 3.2% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.