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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+1.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+0.29vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.64-1.43vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.21vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.21-0.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.96-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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3.29Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.28Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont1.640.1%1st Place
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7.21Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 18.5% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 13.7% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 23.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mott Blair | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 16.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Aidan Scanlon | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| Anna Spiro | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 23.2% | 36.7% |
| Austen Freda | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.