Race 5A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aidan Scanlon 11.2% 11.9% 11.9% 11.7% 14.1% 16.2% 12.9% 7.4% 2.7%
Colin Richards 12.8% 16.3% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1% 11.4% 8.5% 4.4% 1.1%
Christos Karplus 8.7% 8.0% 9.8% 12.4% 13.5% 14.7% 16.2% 11.5% 5.2%
Perham Black 19.1% 19.7% 17.7% 14.7% 11.2% 8.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Olivia Mitchell 2.5% 2.4% 5.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.1% 13.2% 21.9% 33.8%
Adrian van der Wal 22.7% 19.5% 18.4% 14.7% 10.3% 8.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Mott Blair 5.0% 3.6% 4.4% 7.8% 7.3% 12.6% 17.5% 24.3% 17.5%
Anna Spiro 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 4.9% 9.0% 12.1% 23.0% 37.4%
Austen Freda 15.2% 15.5% 13.9% 13.8% 16.2% 10.7% 9.5% 3.7% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.