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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.83-0.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-1.52vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+4.14vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California3.12-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon1.97+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+2.64vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+2.78vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands1.09+0.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles2.28-3.96vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.15-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.57-3.77vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.96-2.77vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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10.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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12.78Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.75California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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8.37Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.23Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
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10.14California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Travis Benton | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 14.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Peterson | 19.0% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 22.1% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 27.3% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| Andrew Morton | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Taylor | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 20.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.