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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.64+3.63vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+3.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+0.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20-0.52vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05-2.23vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.18vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.21-0.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.96-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of Vermont1.640.1%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.1%1st Place
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3.29Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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3.48Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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6.24Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Vermont2.050.2%1st Place
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7.18Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.18Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Scanlon | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Christos Karplus | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 22.9% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Perham Black | 19.1% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Mott Blair | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| Colin Richards | 16.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 35.5% |
| Anna Spiro | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 36.1% |
| Austen Freda | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.