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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aidan Scanlon 11.0% 11.2% 11.7% 12.2% 14.8% 15.7% 12.1% 8.6% 2.7%
Christos Karplus 6.6% 8.0% 9.9% 12.1% 12.7% 17.2% 15.3% 12.7% 5.5%
Adrian van der Wal 22.9% 16.8% 19.4% 13.2% 13.3% 7.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Perham Black 19.1% 19.8% 15.7% 15.5% 12.2% 8.8% 5.4% 3.1% 0.4%
Mott Blair 3.4% 5.5% 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 11.3% 16.8% 21.1% 17.6%
Colin Richards 16.4% 15.9% 16.6% 15.7% 13.3% 10.8% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Olivia Mitchell 3.3% 2.9% 2.3% 4.1% 6.1% 8.1% 14.6% 23.1% 35.5%
Anna Spiro 2.8% 3.4% 2.7% 4.1% 5.8% 7.9% 14.9% 22.3% 36.1%
Austen Freda 14.5% 16.5% 13.6% 14.5% 14.2% 12.6% 8.8% 4.4% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.