Race 9A

callagy-ross

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colin Richards 16.0% 16.0% 14.9% 15.2% 14.1% 11.3% 8.2% 3.2% 1.1%
Perham Black 15.6% 18.4% 16.1% 15.8% 12.7% 10.6% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1%
Adrian van der Wal 22.8% 18.6% 16.0% 15.9% 11.4% 8.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Mott Blair 4.6% 3.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.2% 12.9% 17.6% 21.2% 16.4%
Aidan Scanlon 11.1% 13.1% 14.6% 11.7% 12.8% 13.8% 11.8% 8.2% 2.9%
Christos Karplus 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 12.0% 14.5% 16.2% 13.8% 11.0% 4.9%
Olivia Mitchell 3.0% 3.3% 2.0% 4.5% 5.5% 8.1% 13.9% 24.4% 35.3%
Anna Spiro 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 3.3% 5.5% 8.3% 13.9% 23.0% 36.6%
Austen Freda 15.7% 14.6% 14.9% 14.2% 15.3% 10.4% 9.4% 4.0% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.