← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.20+2.57vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.36+1.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.05+0.85vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.97vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.64-1.44vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College0.21-0.79vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.96-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
-
3.43Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.85University of Vermont2.050.2%1st Place
-
4.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.1%1st Place
-
6.22Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.56University of Vermont1.640.1%1st Place
-
7.23Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
7.21Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
-
3.96Tufts University1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 19.4% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 19.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Richards | 16.7% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Mott Blair | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| Aidan Scanlon | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 36.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 36.6% |
| Austen Freda | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.