Race 11A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adrian van der Wal 21.7% 19.6% 16.1% 17.3% 10.8% 6.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Perham Black 16.6% 17.6% 15.8% 16.0% 12.9% 11.1% 5.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Christos Karplus 7.3% 9.3% 10.3% 12.0% 14.0% 14.1% 16.5% 11.8% 4.7%
Mott Blair 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 10.1% 13.2% 17.6% 20.5% 17.0%
Aidan Scanlon 11.5% 12.6% 15.2% 10.5% 13.1% 13.9% 12.7% 7.3% 3.2%
Colin Richards 16.0% 16.2% 16.7% 15.2% 12.8% 12.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.1%
Olivia Mitchell 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 4.1% 6.2% 7.3% 14.2% 24.4% 35.3%
Anna Spiro 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 4.4% 9.5% 13.3% 23.4% 36.2%
Austen Freda 16.3% 13.8% 13.9% 15.1% 15.7% 11.3% 8.1% 4.4% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.