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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+2.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23+2.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08+1.61vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.56-4.80vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.95+0.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-4.03vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.99-1.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.53vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.13Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Miller | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Max Thompson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
| Romain Screve | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mark Davies | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.