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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+3.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+4.71vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08+4.64vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53-1.96vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.56-2.83vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.99+1.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.63vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.13-5.31vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.95-1.74vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-6.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-4.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.91Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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12.26Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Max Thompson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Romain Screve | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Mark Davies | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.