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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+4.61vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.99+8.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+2.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.53vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.56-2.05vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.95+3.34vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.96vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.07vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-4.07vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-7.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.68vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-4.84vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.08-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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12.01Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.95Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.34Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Romain Screve | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mark Davies | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| Charles Miller | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Max Thompson | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.