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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+4.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+5.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+4.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.23+5.27vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.73vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.99+3.16vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.95+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08+0.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-4.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-6.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.66vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-10.04vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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12.05Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Romain Screve | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.4% |
| Max Thompson | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 24.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Miller | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.