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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+4.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.56+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+1.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.35vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.10vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.95+3.26vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.75vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.80vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-5.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.99-3.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.31vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.39-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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12.26Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.93Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Romain Screve | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 21.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.