Race 4A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marshall Rodes 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 4.8% 7.2% 10.3% 17.4% 32.9% 12.2%
Curtis Mallory 6.1% 6.7% 8.1% 8.8% 10.3% 10.8% 15.2% 16.2% 14.5% 3.2%
Buck Rathbun 28.7% 24.0% 16.1% 13.5% 8.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Harris 15.7% 17.3% 15.0% 13.8% 14.4% 10.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Isabella Cho 12.3% 11.8% 13.8% 14.5% 13.8% 12.9% 10.5% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Robert Heath 11.9% 12.6% 14.5% 14.9% 13.6% 12.3% 9.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.4%
Kevin McNeill 4.8% 5.8% 8.1% 7.3% 9.6% 12.4% 14.0% 17.0% 16.8% 4.3%
Jordynn Johnson 5.9% 6.9% 7.6% 10.0% 10.0% 12.7% 15.4% 15.2% 13.6% 2.8%
Toby Clarkson 10.7% 10.8% 11.6% 12.2% 13.6% 13.9% 12.2% 10.8% 3.7% 0.5%
Colin Kenny 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.2% 10.8% 75.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.