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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.83+2.54vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+7.99vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-0.44vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90-2.48vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.15+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.28-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon1.97-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-0.73vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.96+0.15vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.64-2.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-2.29vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands1.09-3.12vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.77-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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9.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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8.45Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
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10.04California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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11.88California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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12.75Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Peterson | 21.9% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Emily Dahl | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 12.1% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 20.9% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Morton | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Balter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.