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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+4.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.22vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+4.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+7.37vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+0.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+2.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.99+3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.36vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.96-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.82vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-5.77vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-7.42vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.08-4.40vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.95-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.05Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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12.08Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 22.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.