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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+4.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+5.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-0.12vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.95+3.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-0.07vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.99+0.85vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.08-2.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.39-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.23-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.85Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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12.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Walter Henry | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Max Thompson | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 21.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.