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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+4.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+5.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+6.36vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+1.56vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+0.97vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.72vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.95+1.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.95vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.99-2.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.82vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.08-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Charles Miller | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mark Davies | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Max Thompson | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.