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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+6.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+8.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+3.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+4.57vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.56-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-2.05vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.99+0.95vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-4.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-6.32vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.95-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.08-4.36vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.23-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.95Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.98Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 21.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Romain Screve | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 17.7% |
| Charles Miller | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Mark Davies | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.