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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+6.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+4.93vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.63+8.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+2.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75+1.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37+2.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.50-1.41vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.07-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.17-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.34+0.12vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.90-6.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.93-4.96vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.05-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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5.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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11.04Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Max Clapp | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 18.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Peter Neal | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| John Ped | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Chris Keller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Porter Killian | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 27.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.