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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+4.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90+3.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+3.43vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74+4.65vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+3.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-1.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.79vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-4.96vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.93-1.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.50-5.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.05-4.50vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.37-6.71vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.34-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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11.74Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.05Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Read | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Daniel Vail | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 18.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Porter Killian | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Max Clapp | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Chris Keller | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Peter Neal | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.