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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.36vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.17vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+4.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90+3.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.37+3.37vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.17+3.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.45vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-1.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.55vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93-0.03vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.63-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.74-1.27vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.05-3.30vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.34-2.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.50-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.97Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.93Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Porter Killian | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Brendan Read | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Max Clapp | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.3% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 26.4% |
| Chris Keller | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.