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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03+2.50vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+0.81vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58-0.64vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-3.68vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.02vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.01-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03College of Charleston1.8124.1%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida1.0915.7%1st Place
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3.71Old Dominion University1.5216.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami-0.033.5%1st Place
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5.81Christopher Newport University0.655.6%1st Place
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5.36Rollins College0.587.9%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University-1.3821.1%1st Place
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6.98Florida State University-0.272.7%1st Place
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6.41North Carolina State University0.013.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.1% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Marina Conde | 16.2% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 23.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Emily Allen | 21.1% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 33.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.