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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+6.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+5.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+3.44vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+6.86vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+5.71vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74+5.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+0.31vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+3.79vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.34+2.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.50-3.31vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.92-5.92vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-6.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.17-5.93vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.37-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.44Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.71Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.79Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.1% |
| John Ped | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 26.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Chris Keller | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Max Clapp | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Porter Killian | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Peter Neal | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.