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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.37+7.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+4.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+3.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.17+2.93vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75-0.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.50-1.49vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.74vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.34+0.95vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.93-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.74-2.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.59vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-5.08vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.63-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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11.04Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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12.06Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Neal | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Read | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Max Clapp | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Porter Killian | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Chris Keller | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 27.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% |
| John Ped | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| William Bedford | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.