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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.48vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+5.77vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+3.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.37+4.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+0.53vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.63+5.14vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.90-0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-1.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.53vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93+0.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.05-1.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.34-0.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-7.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.17-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.74-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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11.16Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Peter Neal | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Clapp | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 29.7% |
| Brendan Read | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Porter Killian | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.