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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.34vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+5.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.17+6.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+1.22vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.92+1.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74+1.66vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.37-2.68vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-1.91vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.20vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.63-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.34-2.82vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.09Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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12.09Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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11.05Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Porter Killian | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Peter Neal | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 26.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.