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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+5.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+4.50vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.78vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90+1.46vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75+0.86vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+3.86vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74+2.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-3.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.17-1.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-5.08vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.34-1.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.37-6.64vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.95-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.86Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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11.18Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.04Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Vail | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Porter Killian | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Read | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 28.9% |
| Peter Neal | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| William Bedford | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.