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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+2.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.85vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+1.36vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03+0.50vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.01-0.56vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.11vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Old Dominion University1.5217.0%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston1.8123.9%1st Place
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3.85University of South Florida1.0915.8%1st Place
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5.36Rollins College0.587.0%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University-1.3820.8%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami-0.033.5%1st Place
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6.44North Carolina State University0.013.9%1st Place
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6.89Florida State University-0.273.1%1st Place
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5.83Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 17.0% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.9% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.0% |
| Emily Allen | 20.8% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 32.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.