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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+5.98vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+8.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+5.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+4.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+5.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+0.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70-0.44vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.94+5.06vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84+0.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.69+0.57vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.04-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.22-3.31vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-8.11vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-6.44vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.43vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.04Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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14.06Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.95Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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11.57Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Marcus Abate | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Will Davies | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 40.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Michael Munger | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Gallagher | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.