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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+9.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+3.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+3.37vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+5.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+0.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.69+3.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.60-2.07vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-0.79vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32+0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-6.77vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.94-0.02vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.22-5.45vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.49-7.41vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.73Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.23Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.21Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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13.98Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirkpatrick | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Michael Munger | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 20.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Davies | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 37.4% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Marcus Abate | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.