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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.52+2.55vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25-0.45vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.66vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.06vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-2.10vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Villanova University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.43Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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2.55University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.94Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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4.9Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.98Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin McGarry | 15.3% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 31.5% | 27.6% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 29.5% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| Townsend Morey | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 24.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Henry Proud | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.