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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+3.79vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.25-1.37vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.52-1.36vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72-1.11vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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2.43Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.63SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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2.63University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.64Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.89Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.0Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Townsend Morey | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 22.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 33.6% | 26.3% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 28.2% | 25.4% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Erin McGarry | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 24.4% |
| Henry Proud | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.