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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+0.06vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.55vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01+0.50vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-0.13vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.03vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.58-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Jacksonville University-1.3821.1%1st Place
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3.85University of South Florida1.0916.2%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston1.8123.6%1st Place
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3.6Old Dominion University1.5217.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami-0.033.5%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University0.013.2%1st Place
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6.87Florida State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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5.97Christopher Newport University0.655.2%1st Place
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5.28Rollins College0.587.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.6% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 17.0% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 22.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 30.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.