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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Princeton University2.35+0.40vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+1.81vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.89vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60+0.09vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.35vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.52-3.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.25-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.81Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.89Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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5.09Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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3.67Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.49University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 33.6% | 26.6% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
| Townsend Morey | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% |
| Henry Proud | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 28.7% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| Erin McGarry | 12.6% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 30.9% | 27.6% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.