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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.42vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.59vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+1.91vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.25-2.40vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.52-3.35vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.59SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.91Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.93Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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2.6University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.65Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.89Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 33.6% | 25.9% | 18.7% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 25.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 27.8% | 28.5% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Erin McGarry | 13.8% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Henry Proud | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.