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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.52+2.56vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25-0.45vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.60+1.12vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72-0.06vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-2.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Villanova University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.42Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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2.55University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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5.12Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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4.94Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.9Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin McGarry | 15.1% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 31.0% | 28.2% | 20.4% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jensen McTighe | 29.4% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Henry Proud | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 25.0% | 27.2% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 25.2% |
| Townsend Morey | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.